All this is Crazy!!
Special report As I swept through Kent and Calais on a Eurostar last week, the financial markets again threw some entertainment my way in the shape of the SocGen debacle.
My last Reg piece explained that the credit crunch was partly fuelled by VBA and that is what appears to have happened again.
However, Eurostar trains don’t have Wi-Fi, and my only access to the world was a BlackBerry. So getting Kerviel’s number took hours, by which time he had gone to ground. He has my mobile number if he wants a chat…
Nevertheless, in various Paris bars over the weekend, fragments of the story grew in the telling. There were a few common threads, but the consensus was not surprise that this had happened – just that it happened to SocGen, which has an enviable reputation throughout the market as a “smart” bank.
Absolutely no trader or quant has said to me “couldn’t happen at my bank”. A couple of sharp risk managers correctly speculated that the numbers involved would grow, and that because he had compromised the systems no honest final number would be available soon. Since it appears that it was an external source who complained about the problem, not SG risk management, this seems highly credible.






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